Realty market Mumbai

Now Mumbai is seeking to amend its more than 24 year old building rules which will allow slums to mushroom and it will keep housing beyond the reach of most of more than 19 million residents. As we all know the fact that world’s second-most densely populated mega city is the part of the prime minister’s “Housing for All” programme in which more than 20 million new homes will be available in all over India by the end of 2022 to help eliminate urban slums and squalor.

According to theory of experts, in real estate market the supply of apartments should increase with cut or discount in property prices to help India’s financial capital emulate wealthy peers including New York and Shanghai. This island-city has little available land for development and it is promising challenge to its floor space index (FSI) regulations that may permit developers to tear down old structures and build skyscrapers. It could be good news for some real estate developers such as; Sunteck Realty, Godrej Properties, Peninsula Land and Oberoi Realty as per the reports of Edelweiss Financial Services.

As per the statement of Vyomesh M. Shah, Managing Director of Hubtown, which is Mumbai based developer house, it is the only way to solve the perennial housing shortage in this city, where most of the people are living in pigeonhole-size apartments. Recently, the Municipal Corporation of Greater Mumbai has proposed to increase the FSI, to range between 2 and 8, compared with an earlier cap of 1.33. FSI determines the maximum floor area allowed in a building relative to the land on which it is erected. In 1964, when first time it was introduced than it was set on the cap of 4.5, which means on a one acre (0.4 hectare) plot of land, which is little smaller than a football field, living space totaling only 196,000 square feet could be built. However in 1991, policy makers make it low as 1.33 times, which was a move contrary to what most cities with limited land have tended to do for raising the permitted FSI to accommodate demand of real estate, as in Singapore, HongKong, Manhattan and some Chinese cities.

The proposed change will allow for variable building heights depending on consumption patterns, location and logistics. In past FSI was acting as the tool to limit the congestion in Mumbai, but under the new plan it is designed primarily to be a tool to manage physical development of Mumbai by laying out uniform rules, so that each and every location in Mumbai can provide good connectivity with other parts, said Aashiesh Agarwaal, an analyst at Edelweiss Securities. The more he added that now we are seek to address key lacunae impacting Mumbai’s real estate sector.

Real estate developers are stepping in right direction and its positive sign with strong governance, brand and execution capabilities. Most of the proposals are available for public comments after which final regulations will be released, which could be as late as end-2015. The S&P BSE India Realty Index has noticed the growth of 15 per cent in 2015 whereas; compared with the benchmark S&P BSE Sensex its 7.6 per cent gain. However; the Oberoi Reality which is country’s second-largest real estate developer by value climbed 13 per cent in the period while Godrej Properties added 16 per cent.

JK House

Located right opposite to breach Candy hospital, Singhania’s 37-storeyed JK House tower is seems to be in trouble. Built against a floor space index of 2,570 square meters, JK House sprawls over 27,400 square meters. That means the total construction area is more than ten times the FSI calculation and as per shops and homes that can cause serious concerns from urban planning point of view. For all of you who don’t know, FSI is the ratio which decides the permissible area to be built on a plot.

In 2008 excessive concessions were sanctioned by then municipal commissioner Jairaj Phatak to the developer which is the extra covered spaces, which are non-permissible and totally in disregard of the spirit of development control rules. Although in 2012 BMC had stopped the work on construction site when concessions were found to be misused and excessive.

The JK House covers basement along with stilts, shops on the first and second floors, parking levels and two refuge floors between the third and 14th floors and also a museum between the 15th and 18th floors. While the floors from 20 to 36 are provided for residences, amenities, fire refuge, and AC plant room, 19th floor is a service area. The tower stands at 142.56 m in height.

 Shops and homes mention that only up to 4% of the built up area is allowed to be free of FSI and anything falling beyond this limit shall be considered in FSI as per the rules of National Building Code, still the JK House was allowing an area of 2,563 square meters just for fire refuge floors and refuge areas.

On top of that higher floors apartments of JK House were spread over 70 square meters in area and there were no proofs of approval from the state government supporting that. Hence, in order to get clearance from state government Raymond Ltd is required to submit modified plans in accordance with the applicable regulations.

In the previous years due to highly quoted prices, Mumbai real estate industry had to go through slow down in sales and responses. Several projects were left incomplete due to lack of environment clearance, disputed lands, incomplete approval from authorities, and very often builders were lacking financial support. With the win of Modi led BJP as the new central government, real estate industry expects revival with efficiency in approval process and easier and smoother bank funding.

Currently, the main factors affecting the growth of real estate market of Mumbai are:

• Improved policies of government for boosting the real estate sector.

• State government’s take on its policies related to New Development-Controlled Regulations, Redevelopment, Slum Rehabilitation Act (SRA) and Floor Space Index (FSI).

• Impact of infrastructure changes across the Mumbai Metropolitan Region for boosting the real estate industry.

• Role played by MMRDA and MHADA in the real estate housing sector.

• Reasonable and affordable housing policies.

• Other various factors important for market dynamics like holding capacity of developers, their strategy for sales, acquisition costs, peer pressure for competition, premium on a brand, amenities involved in the project etc.

What about the factors affecting the property prices? These are land cost, price of raw material, technology, labour and others. The existing stock of homes in the city has been constructed with high prices of land and raw materials. Thus, it would not be fair to expect immediate price corrections.

So what are the actual demands or expectation of Mumbai real estate industry? Let us elaborate it:

• A confident government with firm policies for making reality market strong.

• Quick and single window clearance system.

• Easy availability of raw materials at subsidize cost.

• Tax incentives and simpler taxation system.

If all these problems are resolved successfully, it will be a great help in controlling the skyrocket prices in real estate industry and the dream of Modi’s government of ‘a home for all’ in a city like Mumbai will not be a dream anymore.

So, are we seeing any positive changes since the new government? Well, just even before the elections the Housing Sentiment Index (HSI) reflected the signs of improvement in consumer sentiments in Mumbai. HIS is a sentiment index of the Indian real estate market that captures buyer ‘mood’ and acts as a sign of changes in real estate market performance.The HSI improved by 24 per cent as compared to a rise of 5 per cent in the last quarter. The HSI for Mumbai has moved even above 100 for the very first time in four quarters and today it has reached up to 106.
Though with this year we have seen progress in the overall economy, still lot of work needs to be done to revive the lost confidence in the real estate sector. Start of 2014 was quite positive for Mumbai real estate as it saw almost 20 to 30 percent of increase in the sales but later closer to elections transactions started coming to a standstill.